The lightweight division is MMA's deepest by far.
It's clear that the winner of tonight's UFC Lightweight Championship bout between champion Frankie Edgar (14-1-1) and challenger Benson Henderson (15-2) is at the top.
But who is behind them? That remains to be seen.
For now though, let's look at the match in question.
The stand-up in this fight is going to be spectacular. The Tae Kwon Do of Bendo and the boxing of Edgar will make for a fun battle. However, if this goes to the ground, I have to favor Bendo's ground game over the champ's.
This is truly a lightweight fight worthy of the Japanese MMA audience, and they will definitely appreciate this match.
Neither man will easily give in, nor will they burn out. I expect Henderson to win the title via decision in a possible match of the year candidate.
Light Heavyweight bout: Quinton "Rampage" Jackson v. Ryan Bader
Rampage will have a huge fanbase here thanks to his time in PRIDE, but he did show up six pounds overweight
I think he'll still be a threat, but it's certainly a concern that he couldn't hold up his end of the bargain. Both of these men are good wrestlers, but I'll take Rampage by KO in Round 1. I will note that if this fight goes longer, it favors Bader, as he is if full fight condition.
Heavyweight bout: Chieck Kongo v. Mark Hunt
This is a clash of two guys yearning for respectability through this fight. Both men could get back into the high-eschelon discussion by beating the other.
I am expecting a good match, and I will lean toward Kongo winning by KO in Round 2.
Rest of the Card:
Welterweights: Yoshihiro Akiyama v. Jake Shields - Akiyama's 170 lb. debut will be derailed by a resilient Shields by decision
Middleweights: Yushin Okami v. Tim Boetsch - Okami regains his focus and picks up the decision by keeping it standing.
Featherweights: Hatsu Hioki v. Bart Palaszewski - In his home nation, I'll give Hioki the edge and the submission victory in Round 3.
Lightweights: Anthony Pettis v. Joe Lauzon - This is an opener worthy of Japan. I'll give Pettis the decision here.
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